Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 305.445114 347.115926 393.953719 450.803126 518.343487 596.524489 694.602368
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 237.534138 289.408818 353.160545 438.406754 551.158873 697.727468 906.982857
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 210.129622 268.121050 343.811044 452.086791 606.839543 826.314843 1173.207955
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 187.390719 247.686604 330.130010 454.537840 643.909754 932.824877 1431.736377
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 166.907798 226.822975 311.830884 445.784136 660.608467 1009.332113 1660.186552
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 153.187458 213.456149 301.889475 446.931996 691.265703 1112.344344 1961.344735
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 139.216406 197.974074 286.594553 436.854480 700.707304 1179.490709 2213.267993
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 129.097452 187.143307 277.008420 434.329898 722.022231 1271.589316 2544.346165
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 116.655632 171.506404 258.078141 413.292259 705.970504 1287.588210 2711.003448
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 113.229485 169.756289 261.406997 431.353694 766.192607 1471.023071 3344.490339
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 111.200701 170.001989 267.955081 455.925933 843.504449 1710.627176 4233.501228
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 105.446933 163.521643 262.206838 456.473129 871.011299 1843.000590 4881.363278
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 97.829936 153.462742 249.531389 442.624896 866.502168 1900.306456 5337.815905
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 91.193538 144.636484 238.363184 430.591920 864.453492 1964.865424 5861.390611
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 88.628284 142.706771 239.592283 443.958225 923.605632 2210.357374 7209.906738
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 84.878891 138.360086 235.861742 446.354615 956.822847 2393.437452 8451.593039
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 80.158237 131.911915 227.549575 437.797800 961.038215 2491.336269 9396.186239
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 76.941551 127.997113 223.817335 438.919895 990.627105 2679.315097 10952.781732
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 72.799367 122.086784 215.665219 429.068040 989.100055 2764.505463 12049.681992
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 69.744016 118.032789 210.925072 426.599786 1007.713738 2926.978701 13781.679836
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 65.114002 110.716546 199.038931 406.028292 971.504309 2880.147252 14143.080065
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 64.475126 111.032564 202.879632 423.689880 1050.351581 3298.110011 18291.336132
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 64.371981 112.373973 208.965489 447.711347 1154.368436 3869.328509 24816.045729